It is ten years since I wrote the third edition of this book in 2002 and much in the
shipbuilding world has changed in this period.
For a large part of the so-called “noughties”, substantial demand for modern shipping
tonnage, fuelled by global economic growth and rocketing freight rates, led to very
significant competition for newbuilding slots. In consequence, and for the first time in
several decades, the world’s leading shipbuilders could demand significant price increases
for their products, develop large long-term order books and even “pick and choose” their
customers from among the many shipowners wishing to contract with them. Many
countries responded by developing and implementing significant expansion plans for their
national shipbuilding industries. In particular, China, whose already huge economy had
been growing by 10% or more per annum, generating massive demand for the importation
of raw materials and exportation of manufactured goods, embarked upon a shipyard
construction programme intended to make it the world’s largest shipbuilder by 2016.
This period of shipbuilding prosperity ended, of course, with the economic collapse that
followed the global financial crisis beginning in September 2008. Within months, many
shipowners who had committed themselves at newbuilding prices that had become hugely
overvalued faced the prospect of crippling losses; in extreme cases, and as the shipping
banks retreated from the finance marketplace, some owners were unable to secure the
funding needed to complete the purchase of their newbuilds, thereby exposing them to the
loss of their previously paid instalments of the contract price. The period since 2008 has
seen numerous attempts by owners to renegotiate the prices and/or delivery dates of such
tonnage, and an enormous increase in the level of “vessel rejection” and cancellation
disputes, a phenomenon not previously seen since the very early part of the decade.