In the preceding decades, the attributes of climate change—including long
time horizons, complex science, numerous and widespread contributors,
and disparate geographic impacts—repeatedly intersected with political and
legal processes to frustrate the development of effective mitigation laws and
policies. Climate change thus lives up to its billing as a “super wicked” public
policy problem defying ready solution.1 Current commitments by countries
to reduce atmospheric greenhouse gases (GHGs) fall far short of what is
necessary to limit climate change and its impacts to tolerable levels. Even if
every party honors its non-binding commitments under the Paris Agreement,
models project that warming will, within this century, significantly exceed
2°C, the level of warming generally recognized as the maximum tolerable.2
To put this in perspective, the present-day manifestations of “just” a little over
1°C warming—wildfires, flooding, storms—are proving to be deadly, costly,
and dislocating; as discussed in the next chapter, scientists project even more
serious, irreversible impacts with warming of even 1.5°C. Yet knowledgeable
observers caution that “barring rapid global political, social, and technological
transformations … we will be fortunate to limit temperature rise to 2.6°C, just
as likely to reach 3.9°C, and the possibility of reaching 4.0°C or higher cannot
be ignored.”3