It is a strange time to be thinking about justice and fairness in the rulegoverned
global economy.
I first became conscious of global politics in the 1990s, during that
optimistic post-Cold War, pre-9/11, liberal internationalist moment that
we were told was to be history’s end state. That moment produced the
WTO, but also the International Criminal Court, the Maastricht Treaty,
the Millennium Development Goals, and a general sense that nations and
nationalism were becoming a bit passé. When I began thinking seriously
about international economic governance in the mid-2000s, the main
criticisms of the trade system came from environmentalists, human
rights activists, and advocates for the Global South. Nobody imagined
that the trade regime was perfect: the debacle in Seattle made that clear.
But the biggest challenge was that the trade rules were insufficiently
cosmopolitan, preferring the interests of rich countries and industries
over the globally most vulnerable.
Those days are over. In the months when I was finishing this book, two
votes happened that made that eminently clear: the UK referendum on
leaving the European Union; and Donald Trump’s election as president
of the United States. Whatever else these two votes mean, they signal
a reassertion of economic nationalism in two countries that, over two
centuries, have done most to advance an open international economic
order. The political sentiments they express are a reminder of something
that liberal economists know well, but often neglect to mention: that
while trade may benefit countries as a whole, its costs and benefits are
unevenly spread. They represent a demand, on the part of those who see
themselves as losing out from globalization, to have their pain recognized
and their interests accommodated, even if this means shifting that pain
onto someone else. They are, in consequence, a rejection of many economic
shibboleths on which the postwar – and especially the post-Cold
War – liberal economic order was built